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Preliminary Thoughts on the 2009 Schedule

After seeing the list of 2009 opponents earlier in the offseason, Texans fans were forced to wait for the actual schedule to be released.  Well, breathe easier, Texans fans, the schedule is out.  Before the draft and any other free agent moves, let’s take a look at what the 2009 season looks like.

At first glance, it appears the Texans can win ten games and possibly even eleven.  This should leave the Texans fighting for one of the wild card berths in the post season.  Opening the season at home should get the good guys off to a fast start.  The Week 1 game against the post-Favre, post-Mangini Jets should be the first win of the season.

Week 2, the first road game and the first division game, is at Tennessee, a place the Texans have struggled historically.  Don’t expect that to change this year.  1-1.

In Week 3, the Texans return home for a second division game against Jacksonville, a team that has alternated between good and bad.  Based on their pattern of success in odd years, 2009 should see a return to success for the Jags.  This will not be enough to take down the Texans at home. The Texans should be 2-1.  Week 4 provides the Texans a change for revenge against the Oakland Raiders.  This game, again at home, should be another win for the hometown team.

For their first trip west, the Texans travel to defending NFC champion Arizona Cardinals for a 3:15 game.  This should be an explosive matchup between two strong offenses.  Of course, we’ll all be pulling for the Texans, but I imagine the Texans will be 3-2 after Week 5.  In Week 6, the Texans travel to Cincinnati for what should be the teams first road victory.  If Carson Palmer is healthy, the Bengals may put up a fight.  If he’s not, look for a result similar to last year’s October beatdown.

In Week 7, the 49ers enter Reliant Stadium and the Texans should be able to defeat the Mike Singeltary-led team for its 5th victory of the season.  Week 8 actually brings good fortune to the Texans, in spite of the road game at Buffalo.  The weather should be much less severe in the first week of November than in December.  I predict another victory on the road and for the Texans to emerge at 6-2.  For the second of three times during 2009, the Texans will play back to back road games.  Instead of playing outside in the elements in Buffalo, Week 9 brings the Texans to Lucas Oil Field to battle the Colts.  On the road, the Texans most likely lose to Peyton Manning and the Colts.  Heading into the bye week, the Texans should emerge 6-3 and ready for a much needed week off.

Week 11 brings Monday Night Football back to Houston for a battle against the Titans.  Behind a raucous crowd (hopefully Battle Red), the good guys should shut down the Titans and advance to 7-3.  Another home game in Week 12 brings the Colts to town for the second matchup against the Texans in the month of November.  This time, with the game in Houston, expect a win for the Texans.  Remember, the Colts were a year younger when the Sage-en-copter landed last season.  Without that, the Texans would have defeated the Colts.  Anticipate a win this year and the Texans to emerge at 8-3.

In Week 13, a meaningful game at Jacksonville in December may drop the Texans to 8-4.  If the Texans win, they could be leading the wild card chase heading into mid December.  Seattle heads to Houston in Week 14.  Expect the Texans to hold serve at home and get back to the winning ways of 2009.  A Week 15 road trip to St. Louis should see the Texans win another game and land at 10-4.

The final two games of the season should be tougher for the Texans than earlier in the season.  A road game to play the Bill Parcells-led Dolphins is likely to be the Texans fifth loss of the year.  Keep in mind, however, the Fins have never defeated the Texans.  In Week 17, the Patriots come to town.  The Texans and Patriots may be battling for a playoff spot or playoff positioning.  I expect the Texans to drop this game at land at 10-6 on the year.  On the other hand, the Texans could defeat either of these last two opponents and emerge at 11-5.

What do you guys think?  Any predictions before the draft on how many wins the Texans will have during 2009?

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3 Responses to “Preliminary Thoughts on the 2009 Schedule”

  1. luke says:

    i love mixed-sports metaphors.

  2. Trey says:

    That’s about how I’d see it. Of course I always expect the unexpected with this team. I think we can take Miami at the end of the year since the Fins won’t be taking anyone by surprise this year. For the unexpected loss, maybe St. Louis just because this the Texans are a weird team like that. For the unexpected win, I think in Indy.

  3. Jordy says:

    I think it’s very optimistic to think they’ll win 11 next year. Somehow, the Texans seem to lose a couple they should win (Indy, Minn, Jac). You mentioned in an earlier post what must happen for the Texans to make the playoffs (Shaub to play, cut turnovers, Amobi to play well, etc). I just think there are too many ‘if’s.

    If they play well, I think they can win 10. However, I’m expecting another 8 win season.

    Of course, this can all change depending on the draft and preseason/early season injuries.

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