Texans Need Some Luck to Reach the Next Level in 2009

Richard Justice of the Houston Chronicle writes today a feature in the paper that says that the Texans will need some serious luck to make it to the next level in the 2009 season:

The Texans begin their eighth training camp this week, and this is the day your friendly neighborhood columnist tells you whether it’s OK to be optimistic.

Sure, go ahead. Don’t worry, be happy. Has anyone ever overdosed on optimism? Maybe it’s contagious, and we could sure use some.

Actually, I’m supposed to write that if the Texans stay reasonably healthy, if they keep Matt Schaub on the field and if new defensive coordinator Frank Bush is good at his job, they’ll be in playoff contention in January.

We’re easy to please around here. We’re not asking for a Super Bowl. Just staying in the conversation until Halloween would be a step in the right direction.

The problem with NFL predictions is there are too many moving parts, too many things we just can’t predict. There’s that whole attrition thing.

Good decisions won’t have good results without good luck. Isn’t that awful? Teams devote millions of dollars and hours and hours of study to getting things right. In the end, it sometimes comes down to getting lucky.

The NFL’s best franchise missed the playoffs last year when its most important player went down. If Tom Brady is healthy, the Patriots could win another championship. If he gets hurt again, New England could spend a second straight year out of the playoffs.

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